Detailed dossiers/Rotterdam/NL-RTM-PO11-03

ScreeningNL-RTM-PO11-03Updated 10 Sep 2026

Australiëweg 7, Rotterdam-Maasvlakte · Netherlands

PO11 Maasvlakte

A closing 60 ha chemicals complex in Europe's largest port, with exceptional infrastructure context and equally serious decommissioning, policy and power-allocation questions.

PortHeavy industryNetherlandsLarge scale

DPOWER EVIDENCEInfrastructure context only

Public-source references5

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POWER STUDY

Power

What the power evidence establishes

The site-specific connection scope has not been established for PO11 Maasvlakte.

Power classDNo qualifying rung

No same-scope, dated import-MVA rung has document-seen or better verification. Nearby infrastructure, IT MW and marketing claims cannot upgrade the class.

The class describes published documentary evidence at its stated date. It does not prove current contractual rights, transferability or an energisation date.

Class describes evidence maturity. Public records do not prove current contractual rights, transferable capacity or an energisation date. This record has not received a complete power study review.

Read the rules and verification levels

Capacity ladder and evidence

Each rung is a separate MVA claim for its stated site or phase. A missing rung is unknown.

Applied

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What applied mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?

Event date

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the effective date of the applied connection evidence?

Capacity boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which buildings or phases does the applied connection evidence cover?

Verification

Unknown

Offered

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What offered mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?

Event date

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the effective date of the offered connection evidence?

Capacity boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which buildings or phases does the offered connection evidence cover?

Verification

Unknown

Accepted / contracted

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What accepted or contracted mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?

Event date

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the effective date of the accepted connection evidence?

Capacity boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which buildings or phases does the accepted connection evidence cover?

Verification

Unknown

Energised

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What energised mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?

Event date

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the effective date of the energised connection evidence?

Capacity boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which buildings or phases does the energised connection evidence cover?

Verification

Unknown

Connection point and load boundaries

Network operator: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which TSO or DSO is responsible for this demand connection?
Connection point: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the operator-confirmed connection substation or circuit?
Voltage: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What voltage level is specified for the demand connection?
Straight-line distance: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What are the evidenced site and connection-point coordinates, and their calculated straight-line distance?
Published route length: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What grid route length is published, and for which circuit?

IT load

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the published IT load in MW?

Basis

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

On what electrical basis is the IT load in MW stated?

Site / phase boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which phase or campus does the IT load in MW cover?

Facility load

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the published facility load in MW?

Basis

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

On what electrical basis is the facility load in MW stated?

Site / phase boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which phase or campus does the facility load in MW cover?

Import capacity

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What is the published import capacity in MVA?

Basis

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

On what electrical basis is the import capacity in MVA stated?

Site / phase boundary

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Which phase or campus does the import capacity in MVA cover?

These are different electrical quantities. No power factor, PUE or available import is assumed from an IT-load statement.

Connection agreement and conditions

Agreement type: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What connection agreement type and current status are documented?
Phased capacity: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the agreement impose phased import-capacity limits?
Flexibility obligations: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What flexibility or curtailment obligations apply?
On-site generation obligations: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What on-site generation obligations apply?
Securities posted: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What securities are required, posted and still valid?
Longstop dates: Unknown
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What connection longstop or milestone dates apply?

Conflicts and scope comparisons

No conflicting pair is recorded. This does not establish that all public statements have been reconciled.

Netherlands grid context

Network publications frame the claim. They do not allocate capacity to this site.

No country context entries have been linked to this site. Applicable policy, capacity information and reinforcement dependencies need review.

Country coverage: prepared sources; site-level research not extended. View all country sources and refresh schedules.

Derived energisation window

Earliest plausible yearUnknown

Latest plausible yearUnknown

The observed inputs do not establish a bounded delivery range. Open bounds stay unknown.

Rule

Use only a same-scope, dated, document-verified capacity rung and an applicable duration to energisation published by the observed site operator. The named process operator and a named source publisher must match that operator. Earliest year is the maximum of stage date plus minimum duration and each evidenced readiness constraint. Latest year is the maximum of stage date plus maximum duration and each published upper constraint only when every required input is bounded. An offer-processing duration is excluded. A missing required input leaves the affected bound unknown; no padding or contractual delivery promise is inferred.

No observed inputs establish this result.

Dependencies driving the range

Connection-dependent reinforcement scope and completion dates: unknown.
Grid-works planning status and programme: unknown.
Applicable connection-policy conditions and programme: unknown.

What the earliest case requires

Connection-dependent reinforcement scope and completion dates introduces no later constraint than the earliest case; this remains unverified.
Grid-works planning status and programme introduces no later constraint than the earliest case; this remains unverified.
Applicable connection-policy conditions and programme introduces no later constraint than the earliest case; this remains unverified.

Missing inputs leave the range open

A dated, document-verified import-MVA rung for the assessed scope.
An applicable duration from the evidenced stage to energisation, published by and matched to the observed site operator, rather than an offer-processing target.
Connection-dependent reinforcement scope and completion dates
Grid-works planning status and programme
Applicable connection-policy conditions and programme

Indicative HV and connection capex

Unknown

Rule and scope

Sum each published complete scope quantity multiplied by the matching published benchmark minimum and maximum. Configuration, voltage, route type, unit, country applicability, currency and explicit price base year must match. No assumed route length, transformer count, exchange rate, inflation, fee uplift or partial index is inserted. The result is an indicative benchmark band, not an operator quotation or contractual connection charge.

No observed inputs establish this result.

Published connection works scope

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What complete connection scope is published: bays, stations, voltage, circuits, route lengths and underground or overhead configuration?

Scope completeness

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Is the published connection scope complete enough to match every component to a sourced benchmark?

Scope questions

Obtain a published complete connection scope with voltage, configuration and measured quantities.
Establish that every necessary connection-work component is included in the published scope.
Identify network and customer works, upstream reinforcement, land and wayleaves, taxes, fees, securities, contingency and the price base.

Country reference bands and sources

No eligible published capex reference has been recorded. Country bands remain unknown.

Alternatives and policy exposure

Behind-the-meter generation

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What behind-the-meter generation is evidenced, and at what scope?

Planning / policy requirement

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Does the applicable planning or connection policy require behind-the-meter generation?

Battery storage

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What battery storage is evidenced, and at what scope?

Planning / policy requirement

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Does the applicable planning or connection policy require battery storage?

Private wire

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What a private wire is evidenced, and at what scope?

Planning / policy requirement

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Does the applicable planning or connection policy require a private wire?

Gas

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

What gas supply or generation is evidenced, and at what scope?

Planning / policy requirement

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Does the applicable planning or connection policy require gas supply or generation?

Connection claim against current policy

Unknown

Not established from the public records reviewed.

Does the published connection claim meet the policy applicable to its application date, location and agreement status?

Open questions for a Reality Check

Generated from unknown fields, missing derivation inputs and unresolved evidence. The questions identify the documents or specialist checks needed next.

60 questions to resolve

Which TSO or DSO is responsible for this demand connection?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the operator-confirmed connection substation or circuit?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What voltage level is specified for the demand connection?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What are the evidenced site and connection-point coordinates, and their calculated straight-line distance?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What grid route length is published, and for which circuit?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What applied mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the effective date of the applied connection evidence?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which buildings or phases does the applied connection evidence cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What evidence level can be supported for capacityLadder.applied?
Verification has not been established.
What offered mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the effective date of the offered connection evidence?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which buildings or phases does the offered connection evidence cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What evidence level can be supported for capacityLadder.offered?
Verification has not been established.
What accepted or contracted mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the effective date of the accepted connection evidence?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which buildings or phases does the accepted connection evidence cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What evidence level can be supported for capacityLadder.accepted?
Verification has not been established.
What energised mva is evidenced for the assessed site scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the effective date of the energised connection evidence?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which buildings or phases does the energised connection evidence cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What evidence level can be supported for capacityLadder.energised?
Verification has not been established.
What connection agreement type and current status are documented?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the agreement impose phased import-capacity limits?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What flexibility or curtailment obligations apply?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What on-site generation obligations apply?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What securities are required, posted and still valid?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What connection longstop or milestone dates apply?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the published IT load in MW?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
On what electrical basis is the IT load in MW stated?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which phase or campus does the IT load in MW cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the published facility load in MW?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
On what electrical basis is the facility load in MW stated?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which phase or campus does the facility load in MW cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What is the published import capacity in MVA?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
On what electrical basis is the import capacity in MVA stated?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which phase or campus does the import capacity in MVA cover?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What operator-published connection-to-energisation duration applies to this site and connection stage?
An application-to-offer processing target is not an energisation duration.
Which reinforcements does the connection depend on, and what dates are published?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which grid works require planning, and what is their current consent status and dated programme?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which connection-policy conditions apply, and when could they be satisfied?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What complete connection scope is published: bays, stations, voltage, circuits, route lengths and underground or overhead configuration?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Is the published connection scope complete enough to match every component to a sourced benchmark?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What behind-the-meter generation is evidenced, and at what scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the applicable planning or connection policy require behind-the-meter generation?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What battery storage is evidenced, and at what scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the applicable planning or connection policy require battery storage?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What a private wire is evidenced, and at what scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the applicable planning or connection policy require a private wire?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
What gas supply or generation is evidenced, and at what scope?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the applicable planning or connection policy require gas supply or generation?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Does the published connection claim meet the policy applicable to its application date, location and agreement status?
Not established from the public records reviewed.
Which checked country-grid sources and location-specific constraints apply to this connection?
No country-context relationship has been established for this record.
Identify network and customer works, upstream reinforcement, land and wayleaves, taxes, fees, securities, contingency and the price base.
Connection-cost scope question.
Resolve the energisation input: A dated, document-verified import-MVA rung for the assessed scope.
This missing input leaves an energisation bound unknown.
Resolve the energisation input: An applicable duration from the evidenced stage to energisation, published by and matched to the observed site operator, rather than an offer-processing target.
This missing input leaves an energisation bound unknown.
Resolve the energisation input: Connection-dependent reinforcement scope and completion dates
This missing input leaves an energisation bound unknown.
Resolve the energisation input: Grid-works planning status and programme
This missing input leaves an energisation bound unknown.
Resolve the energisation input: Applicable connection-policy conditions and programme
This missing input leaves an energisation bound unknown.
Obtain a published complete connection scope with voltage, configuration and measured quantities.
This scope or reference gap prevents a complete indicative connection capex band.
Establish that every necessary connection-work component is included in the published scope.
This scope or reference gap prevents a complete indicative connection capex band.

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Earlier power notes and source context

Potential supply · MVAUnknown

Not established

Secured importNot verifiedConnection rights not evidenced

A site-specific demand connection or evidenced supply assessment is still needed.

MVA is the apparent electrical power at the supply connection. Substation voltage, generation ratings and IT-load scenarios do not establish the supply available to this parcel.

Screened IT scale38–50 MWAnalyst range, not capacity

Whole site60 haNot net developable land

Earliest powerPost-2026No connection date

Current statusClosingDemolition preparation

Commercial routeJV / portTitle to verify

Evidence confidence76%Strong context, key gaps

OriginPublic comparableHow the opportunity entered the pipeline

Market exposureMarketing not verifiedFuture land release unconfirmed

VerificationDocument seenCurrent highest evidence status

AccessPublic researchLinked sources have their own access and reuse terms

AZ marketEstablished AZ marketExact parcel inclusion unverified

EXECUTIVE VERDICT

The long-term scale case is compelling, but the whole site is still an operational closure and demolition programme. Hazardous-inventory, contamination, port-title, policy and grid issues must be resolved before any redevelopment assumption is credible.

Why it is interesting nowLYB and Covestro's formal programme to shut down and prepare the unit for demolition by the end of 2026 creates a defined trigger for future-use diligence.

What could stop itSeveso/RIE-4 decommissioning obligations and Dutch data-centre policy could override an otherwise strong physical-site thesis.

BUYER-FIT TEST

Scenario screen · verification outstanding

Screened against a 20 MW IT, 12-acre requirement with power needed by 2029.

IT load38–50 MW

20 MW minimum · within screening assumption

UNVERIFIED

Land148 acres

12 acres minimum · within screening assumption

UNVERIFIED

Power datePost-2026 / unconfirmed

Required by 2029 · within screening assumption

UNVERIFIED

CLOUD REGION & AVAILABILITY ZONES

Established Netherlands cloud-region market

Provider regions are matched to their published location. They do not disclose the boundaries or addresses of physical availability zones.

Established AZ market

The Netherlands is an existing Azure availability-zone geography and Google Cloud operates three zones at Eemshaven. That supports national market alignment, not proof that PO11 lies inside a provider footprint.

Provider records checked 12 Sep 2026

Microsoft AzureWest Europewesteurope

AZ support

Published locationNetherlands

Site relationshipSame published national geography

Google CloudNetherlandseurope-west4

AZ support

Published locationEemshaven, Netherlands

Site relationshipSame national market; different published locality

Exact AZ status: Not publicly verifiable. Public provider material identifies regions and logical zones, not a parcel-level zone boundary. Confirm latency, fibre path and hyperscaler requirements directly during diligence.

DUE-DILIGENCE ASSESSMENT

Six factors that drive the decision

Evidence is separated into supported statements and open questions. This is a research assessment, not a vendor, utility or planning commitment.

Power deliverabilityConditional

Conditional

Energy-hub adjacency is strategically valuable, but no allocation for a data-centre load is confirmed.

What is supported

Major power and energy cluster

Existing heavy-industrial infrastructure

What remains open

Firm load allocation

TenneT/Stedin route and timing

Reinforcement and curtailment terms

Land and controlSupported

Supported

The 60 ha whole site offers unusual scale, though neither net developable land nor a transaction perimeter is established.

What is supported

60 ha operating-site record

Port infrastructure and heavy-load access

What remains open

Net release area

Freehold, lease and concession constraints

Operational and pipeline separation

Planning and environmentEvidence gap

Evidence gap

Policy eligibility is the principal hard-stop test.

What is supported

Heavy-industrial planning context

Active environmental permitting environment

What remains open

Data-centre policy eligibility

Nitrogen and environmental headroom

Municipal and national support

Fibre and connectivitySupported

Supported

Rotterdam offers first-rate international and metropolitan connectivity context.

What is supported

Tier-one European port market

Subsea and metro network context

What remains open

Site-specific diverse entries

Carrier construction programme

Delivery and programmeConditional

Conditional

Closure runs through end-2026 before demolition readiness; decommissioning, consents and power can extend the path materially.

What is supported

Formal shutdown and demolition-preparation programme

Mature port logistics and industrial supply chain

What remains open

Demolition and clean-site release schedule

Permit surrender and remediation duration

Utility delivery sequence

Commercial routeConditional

Conditional

LYB, Covestro and port stakeholders are identifiable, but ownership and concession rights may complicate a transaction.

What is supported

50/50 LYB–Covestro asset joint venture

Port authority context

What remains open

Freehold or lease position

Availability and JV alignment

Residual industrial obligations

HARD-STOP REGISTER

Issues that override the score

A high aggregate score does not neutralise a fundamental constraint.

Policy eligibility for large data-centre development

No firm power allocation

Seveso/RIE-4 decommissioning and contamination obligations

Operational land release and port-title position unknown

EVIDENCE REGISTER

Sources behind the assessment

Open each record to check the source and the limits of what it supports.

SourceTypeChecked

Maasvlakte site recordLyondellBasell

Company location and operating-site context.

Primary10 Sep 2026

PO11 closure programmeLyondellBasell and Covestro

Joint-venture ownership and end-2026 shutdown and demolition-preparation programme.

Primary11 Sep 2026

Regulatory company profileDCMR

Seveso and Industrial Emissions Directive RIE-4 regulatory status.

Primary11 Sep 2026

Rotterdam grid positionMunicipality of Rotterdam

Area-level Maasvlakte grid context; not firm PO11 capacity or transferable rights.

Primary11 Sep 2026

Flood-resilience guidancePort of Rotterdam

Residual coastal-flood resilience guidance for redevelopment.

Primary11 Sep 2026

CHANGE HISTORY

What has moved

10 Sep 2026

Permit notice detected

Latest public permit record added to the evidence register.

10 Sep 2026

Large-site threshold retained

Scale remains a core strength but is not treated as net developable area.

9 Sep 2026

Policy risk elevated

Planning eligibility separated as a potential hard stop.

RECOMMENDED NEXT STEP

Complete a policy eligibility memo and confidential power-availability check before testing occupier or port appetite.

Desktop diligence before contact

EVIDENCE GAPS

Build the diligence request

Use the workbench to record the missing documents, proposed control route and next action. No request is sent to an owner.

Open option pathway

Australiëweg 7, Rotterdam-Maasvlakte

51.96° N, 4.05° E

Open full map

SITE IDENTITY

Former/current use: Chemicals unit in closure programme
Ownership route: LYB–Covestro JV and port-title review
Earliest power: Post-2026 / unconfirmed

COMMERCIAL POSITION

Land control: JV and port-title route
Power evidence: Energy-hub adjacency only
Owner visibility: Asset JV identified

Confidence is not certainty. It measures the quality and completeness of the present evidence, not the probability of securing the site.

PO11 Maasvlakte

Watch PO11 Maasvlakte

Capacity ladder and evidence

Applied

Event date

Capacity boundary

Verification

Offered

Event date

Capacity boundary

Verification

Accepted / contracted

Event date

Capacity boundary

Verification

Energised

Event date

Capacity boundary

Verification

IT load

Basis

Site / phase boundary

Facility load

Basis

Site / phase boundary

Import capacity

Basis

Site / phase boundary

Conflicts and scope comparisons

Netherlands grid context

Derived energisation window

Rule

Dependencies driving the range

What the earliest case requires

Missing inputs leave the range open

Indicative HV and connection capex

Rule and scope

Scope completeness

Scope questions

Alternatives and policy exposure

Behind-the-meter generation

Planning / policy requirement

Battery storage

Planning / policy requirement

Private wire

Planning / policy requirement

Gas

Planning / policy requirement

Connection claim against current policy

Open questions for a Reality Check

The long-term scale case is compelling, but the whole site is still an operational closure and demolition programme. Hazardous-inventory, contamination, port-title, policy and grid issues must be resolved before any redevelopment assumption is credible.

Scenario screen · verification outstanding

Established Netherlands cloud-region market

Six factors that drive the decision

Issues that override the score

Sources behind the assessment

What has moved

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